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Display panel prices still in a slump in October despite positive signs from industry, says TrendForce

2015-10-27

According to TrendForce, TV panel shipments have been steady to the third quarter of this year. In the monitor panel market, rush orders from vendors for the year-end sales have returned. Notebook sales are also slowly picking up due to promotional activities. Nonetheless, these positive signs have not significantly eased the industry's concerns over the looming oversupply problem and the market has remained downbeat for October.

Eric Chiou, WitsView senior research director, said that TV sales during China's National Day holidays were weak and did not provide an opportunity to turn the TV panel market around. With much of the capacity being used in TV panel production, there are rising worries that panel suppliers will face both oversupply and weak demand for TV applications. To address this imbalance, suppliers are stepping up their efforts to lower their TV panel inventories as well as finding ways to maximize these products' margins. Hence, TV panel prices have taken a dive due to the combination of aggressive shipments and price slashing.

The TV panel market remains depressed this month with prices declining across all size segments. The 32-inch segment has fallen by about US$2-3 on average. Even though 32-inch TV panels from some suppliers are now sold below their cash costs, their prices might drop further to the US$60 threshold next month if the industry does not significantly adjust its overall capacity utilization. The 39.5- and 43-inch segments have fallen by US$7-8 due to increasing oversupply. Likewise, inventory pressure continues to build in the 48- and 49-inch segments, which has seen a decline of US$8-9. Demand for both 55- and 65-inch panels fades as TV vendors are finishing stocking up for the year-end peak season. Prices in these two segments have dropped by more than US$10 in October.

In the monitor panel market, quote prices for small-size panels (18.5-, 19.5- and 21.5-inch segments) have fallen through their cash costs in October. Their prices are likely to keep falling in the short-term despite some suppliers' efforts. While monitor panels with higher dealing prices are still subject to negotiation between suppliers and buyers, prices in general are consistent with the market downtrend. Price decline for products that quoted below the market average is also starting moderate. Small-size segments have seen decline widen by about US$1-3. For 23- and 24-inch panels, their prices have fallen by around US$2 on average due to the intense price competition among few dominant suppliers.

In the notebook panel market, prices of mainstream TN HD panels in the 15.6-, 14- and 11.6-inch size segments have fallen to a low of US$25-26 in October after suppliers slashed their prices repeatedly to undercut each other in the first half of 2015. While price bargaining for TN HD panels has paused on the supplier as well as the buyer side, heated negotiation continues on the prices of the higher-end Full HD and IPS panels. For suppliers, Full HD and IPS products consume more of their capacity and have better margins compared with TN HD products. They therefore are willing to lower the prices of Full HD and IPS panels to make them more competitive against HD panels and to boost their shipments. Branded notebook vendors on the other hand want to raise the specs of their notebook systems with high-end panels. This will catch consumers' attention and generate sales. Hence, the 15.6-inch Full HD panels may see the largest price drop compared with other notebook panels this month owing to efforts of suppliers, with decline reaching US$1-1.50.

Press release, October 22; Alex Wolfgram, DIGITIMES [Friday 23 October 2015]

http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20151022PR203.html

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